News Summary
As students return to school in Houston, they face high temperatures in the mid to upper 90s alongside potential afternoon thunderstorms. A tropical wave and Tropical Storm Erin are also gaining attention, with implications for local weather. Commuters may experience scattered storms on Monday, affecting morning travels. With rain chances peaking early in the week, families are urged to prepare for warm weather and possible downpours as classes resume.
Houston Prepares for Back-to-School Week with Hot Weather and Scattered Storms
As students in Houston prepare to return to school on Tuesday, they will be met with a forecast predicting sultry temperatures and scattered thunderstorms throughout the week. Highs will reach into the mid to upper 90s, creating a steamy environment as the new academic year begins.
The weather outlook indicates that afternoon storms are likely, with some potentially delivering substantial rain. By the end of the week, particularly on Thursday and Friday, there is a possibility of one to two inches of rainfall as storm activity persists.
Tropical Developments to Monitor
A tropical wave currently moving across the Yucatán Peninsula is expected to enter the southern Gulf of Mexico shortly. According to the National Hurricane Center, there is a low 10% chance of this system evolving into a tropical depression. However, as moisture levels rise, parts of the area might experience heavy downpours as a result.
Meanwhile, in the central Atlantic, Tropical Storm Erin is gaining strength and could possibly turn into a major hurricane by the weekend. Fortunately for Texans, Erin poses no immediate threat to the state. The East Coast, however, is advised to keep a close watch as it may curve offshore, potentially bringing large waves to coastal regions. Erin might also be on a course toward Bermuda next week.
Impact on Monday Commuters
The beginning of the week may see early storms arriving in Houston by the morning commute. Scattered storm activity is expected to drift north of Interstate 10 by midday Monday, potentially impacting areas such as Conroe and Livingston. Overall, daily scattered storms are anticipated throughout the week, coinciding with the start of classes for several large school districts.
Rainfall chances will hover around 30-40% up until Wednesday, with diminished precipitation expected post-Monday. Most neighborhoods can expect to receive less than an inch of rain from the beginning of the week through midweek.
Temperature Expectations
Throughout the week, Houston is likely to experience high temperatures peaking between 94 to 96 degrees Fahrenheit. The heat index is projected to make it feel more like 100 to 103 degrees. The first day of school on Tuesday is forecasted to reach a high of approximately 94 degrees, accompanied by a 30% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Climate data suggests that typical late-August temperatures concerning the first day of school generally hover around 94.8 degrees. Over the last two decades, the first day has frequently recorded temperatures at 95 degrees or above. Historically, heavy rainfall has also been noted, with the record for the wettest first day of school occurring on August 22, 2016, when 4.00 inches of rain fell.
Preparation for Back-to-School
As classes begin, students and parents are reminded to prepare for the warm weather and the possibility of afternoon storms. Morning rain is anticipated to shift inland by 10 or 11 a.m., with the peak chances for storms arriving in the early afternoon hours.
Additionally, a tropical disturbance labeled Invest 97L in the Atlantic is projected to develop into a tropical depression early this week, with forecasts indicating it could evolve into a named storm by Tuesday. If this occurs, it will be dubbed Erin, and it has the potential to reach hurricane status by Thursday or Friday.
This system is expected to impact the Cabo Verde Islands on Monday, bringing gusty winds and rain. Furthermore, a high-pressure atmosphere may hinder Erin’s progression toward the East Coast, allowing for above-normal heat and lower rain chances into the following week.
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Additional Resources
- Fox26 Houston: Back to School Storm Chances
- Wikipedia: Houston
- Houston Chronicle: Monday Forecast
- Google Search: Houston Weather Forecast
- Click2Houston: First Day Weather Trends
- Encyclopedia Britannica: Houston
- Houston Chronicle: Tuesday Rain Chances
- Google News: Houston Weather August 2025
Author: STAFF HERE HOUSTON TX WRITER
HOUSTON STAFF WRITER The HOUSTON STAFF WRITER represents the experienced team at HEREHouston.com, your go-to source for actionable local news and information in Houston, Harris County, and beyond. Specializing in "news you can use," we cover essential topics like product reviews for personal and business needs, local business directories, politics, real estate trends, neighborhood insights, and state news affecting the area—with deep expertise drawn from years of dedicated reporting and strong community input, including local press releases and business updates. We deliver top reporting on high-value events such as Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo, Art Car Parade, and Chevron Houston Marathon. Our coverage extends to key organizations like the Greater Houston Partnership and Houston Area Urban League, plus leading businesses in energy and healthcare that power the local economy such as ExxonMobil, Schlumberger, and Houston Methodist. As part of the broader HERE network, including HEREAustinTX.com, HERECollegeStation.com, HEREDallas.com, and HERESanAntonio.com, we provide comprehensive, credible insights into Texas's dynamic landscape.
